Polymarket Trader

0x4f5BdB579d7986795d031e0ae53184453c6FD902-1781525424243

0x4f5bdb579d7986795d031e0ae53184453c6fd902

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.45
Realized PnL: $450.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.66
Potential profit: $140.66
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.75
Potential profit: $46.75
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $28.02
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $1.47

Ethan Quinn position

Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.94
Potential profit: $11.94
User PnL: -$4.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83
Potential profit: $10.83
User PnL: -$3.9

Under position

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $10.81
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.66
Potential profit: $9.66
User PnL: -$3.96

Over position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.52
Potential profit: $8.52
User PnL: -$3.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $8.24
Potential profit: $3.26
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.22

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.98

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.37

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Over position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 8?

No 96.5% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 8?

No 96% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 8?

No 98% 7.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 8?

No 99% 7.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 8?

No 99.8% 6.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 8?

No 97.9% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?

No 98% 6.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 8?

No 76% 7.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 8?

No 95% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 8?

No 96.4% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?

No 89% 6.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?

No 66% 8.24 shares