Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.17
- Potential profit
- $117.17
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Boosali
0x4f5e6862747579fbe06abbf644fcb4d9e72e3bc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.69
- Realized PnL
- -$61.58
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $29.69
- Potential payout
- $57.09
- Potential profit
- $27.4
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$10.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.31
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.90x
- User PnL
- -$18.71
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.05
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.74
No position
Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.19
Yes position
Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.53
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 70.1% 57.09 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 97% 44.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 79% 44.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 95.5% 36.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 36.36 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 88.2% 32.34 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 77.3% 32.34 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes 82% 25.07 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 85.3% 117.17 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 93.5% 129.21 shares
- Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 7?Yes 86.5% 53.77 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 77.4% 129.22 shares