zwoc228

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $850.65
Potential profit: $850.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $136.03
Potential profit: $135.76
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $99.38
Potential profit: $99.08
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $95.39
Potential profit: $95.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.04
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $74.29
Potential profit: $74.14
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.21
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.22
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $32.42
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.61
Potential profit: $31.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $26.49
Potential profit: $25.61
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.6
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $23.11
Potential profit: $21.96
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $17.55
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.45
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?