Polymarket Trader

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0x4f683f48142a50aed192c9cda8015b7b3f0031f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.15
Realized PnL: $261.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $38.15
Potential payout: $10.9K
Potential profit: $10.86K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.45

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$25.9

Warriors position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$16.64

Canucks position

Senators vs. Canucks

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.45

Rangers position

Utah vs. Rangers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.08
Potential profit: $32.08
User PnL: -$17

Flames position

Penguins vs. Flames

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$15

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$12

NJIT Highlanders position

UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.02
Potential profit: $28.02
User PnL: -$8.97

Northern Colorado Bears position

Northern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzlies

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.9
Potential profit: $23.9
User PnL: -$14.82

Penguins position

Senators vs. Penguins

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Lehigh Mountain Hawks position

Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.2

No position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.72
Potential profit: $19.72
User PnL: -$10.65

Under position

Wild vs. Utah: O/U 6.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Panthers position

Sabres vs. Panthers

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.69
Potential profit: $15.69
User PnL: -$8

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $15.18
User PnL: -$8.5

Red Wings position

Devils vs. Red Wings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$8.4

Islanders position

Blackhawks vs. Islanders

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$9.6

Gonzalo Bueno position

Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Bueno

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$9.3

Houston Cougars position

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.94
Potential profit: $14.94
User PnL: -$8.96

Hornets position

Spread: Hornets (-6.5)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.44
Potential profit: $14.44
User PnL: -$6.5

Stars position

Utah vs. Stars

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$7.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.39

Utah position

Golden Knights vs. Utah

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.7

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Nets

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

England position

T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

Nets position

Grizzlies vs. Nets

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $9.35

Lakers position

Spread: Rockets (-9.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Capitals position

Islanders vs. Capitals

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

paiN Gaming position

Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Playoffs

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Lightning position

Bruins vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Manchester City FC position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Jazz position

Grizzlies vs. Jazz

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Charles Radtke position

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Bucks position

Grizzlies vs. Bucks

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Suns

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.1% 25.2 shares
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99% 25.22 shares
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.1% 25.23 shares
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.2% 25.2 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

No 37% 70 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.1% 31.25 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 61% 20 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.2% 31.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 3.1% 130 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 3.1% 150 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 6.3% 90 shares
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99% 30.27 shares