Yes position
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
ADAto10
0x4f7da00c31973ee38fbd42c1c1262ccb98413db0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.86K
- Realized PnL
- $14.79K
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.71
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.37
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.55
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.53
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $52.82
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$27.6
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$244.36
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?Yes 71% 422.54 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?Yes 60% 6.67 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 72.1% 277.53 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 91.8% 1,089.55 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 93.3% 3,216.37 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?Yes 79% 25.32 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 35,535.71 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 14,285.71 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 7,747.15 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?No 98.1% 1,068 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 31.3% 959.67 shares