Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $23.51
- Potential payout
- $361.64
- Potential profit
- $338.13
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$46.49
Polymarket Trader
0x4F8458750c5d88e2C3Ab8CE55Fd7a61e7974006A-1771709307948
0x4f8458750c5d88e2c3ab8ce55fd7a61e7974006a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.51
- Realized PnL
- $93.12
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.88
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.62
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 250 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 6.1% 500 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes 47.2% 42.34 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes 99.8% 20.02 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17.9% 111.64 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes 94.6% 108.88 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes 9% 108.89 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 1?Yes 11% 25.27 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 18% 82.78 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes 4% 362.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes 8% 362.5 shares