Polymarket Trader

grunix

0x4f8cb61637b3bbfd6305db6e4b5807d10882f8bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.41
Realized PnL: $270.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $40.63
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $584.38
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$59.38

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $166
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.95
Potential profit: $116.95
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $59.23
Potential profit: $49.46
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.81

No position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $30.85
Potential profit: $24.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$8.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$14.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$3.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.03
User PnL: -$5.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.74

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.72

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 64% 78.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 22% 27.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 52% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 49% 20.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 59% 16.95 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

37.7% 50.37 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

58.1% 82.63 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

15.5% 129.04 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 25% 116 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 59% 116.95 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 169.32 shares