Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $61.14
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$938.67
Polymarket Trader
0x4f9e...9aa0
0x4f9eedcc32b40633a04fb45b8149e1b600479aa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $207.71
- Realized PnL
- $7.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$840.91
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $981.51
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$24.92
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $935
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $5
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.13
- Potential profit
- $631.13
- User PnL
- -$50.49
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512
- Potential profit
- $512
- User PnL
- -$184.32
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209
- Potential profit
- $209
- User PnL
- -$112.86
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $196
- User PnL
- -$52.45
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.33
- Potential profit
- $186.33
- User PnL
- -$99.11
No position
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183
- Potential profit
- $183
- User PnL
- -$104.31
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $116
- User PnL
- -$10.44
No position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$55.2
Under position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $108
- User PnL
- -$58.32
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $83.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Atlanta Braves position
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93
- Potential profit
- $93
- User PnL
- -$58.59
Oh My God position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$37.72
BNK FEARX position
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$18.29
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$21.6
GIANTX position
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $47.57
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- User PnL
- $0.29
LNG Esports position
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.59
- Potential profit
- $46.59
- User PnL
- -$23.76
EDward Gaming position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $46
- User PnL
- -$27.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $40.37
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$24.31
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$22.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.96
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.27
No position
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.67
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.89
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.62
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.04
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.57
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.45
HANJIN BRION position
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.09
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.13
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.72
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.06
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.66
BNK FEARX position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51
Yes position
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $22.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.34
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 15,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 667 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.5% 7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 77% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 77.5% 11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.8% 8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85.3% 98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85.5% 351.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85.4% 7,029.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 56.4% 11,111 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.8% 7,307.64 shares