Polymarket Trader

Scott302

0x4fb0dbe7ccd45dc921900e0333c47eee583f58b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $114.94
Realized PnL: $5.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Mercury position

Mercury vs Aces

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$949.9

Up position

Solana Up or Down on August 5?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$912

Up position

XRP Up or Down on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$809

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $46.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $48.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Trump deport 700-800k people?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Twins

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Pirates position

Blue Jays vs. Pirates

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Phillies position

Phillies vs. Reds

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902.06

Up position

Solana Up or Down on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $815

Yankees position

Yankees vs. Rangers

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.75

Orioles position

Blue Jays vs. Orioles

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.09

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Carter position

Nic Carter vs. Coty Kuhn: Who will win?

Ends Jul 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Stars position

Stars vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Jan 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.96

Yes position

US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?

Ends Aug 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Gray position

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.07

No position

US inflation >0.0% from May to June 2024?

Ends Jul 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.11

Jets position

Jets vs. Patriots

Ends Sep 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Claude 4.7 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.7% 20 shares
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99% 20 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

No 98.4% 20.9 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

No 95% 20.9 shares
Mercury vs Aces

Mercury 46% 387 shares
Blue Jays vs. Pirates

Pirates 41% 71 shares
Athletics vs. Twins

Athletics 44% 2,045 shares
Phillies vs. Reds

Phillies 47% 1,702 shares
Yankees vs. Rangers

Yankees 55% 1,455 shares
Solana Up or Down on August 5?

Up 50% 224 shares
Mavericks vs. Hornets

Mavericks 67% 200 shares
Penguins vs. Sabres

Sabres 57% 200 shares