Polymarket Trader

melasd

0x4fb5c5fc7c6ddbf6b949a15c1a7cf526f59ad17f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$1.11K
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$37.57

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$260.51

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$328.15

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$294.43

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$257.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $710
User PnL: -$92.3

No position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$60.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.98

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.66

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.77

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$172.46

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$273.69

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$629.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 76,112.12 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 40,664.42 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 20,873.12 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 10,171.53 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 23% 1,119.98 shares
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Yes 1.1% 3,415.41 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 0.1% 6,748.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Yes 26% 228 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Yes 1.8% 362 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Yes 73.8% 160.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Yes 74% 172.94 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Yes 4.2% 3,883.71 shares