Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Polymarket Trader
caishay24
0x4fba46105b60b342545bed9b44398425274e3256
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.1
- Realized PnL
- -$9.24
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.1%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?Yes 6.2% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 3?Yes 52% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?Yes 22.7% 74 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?Yes 27% 98.48 shares