No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $9.21K
- Potential payout
- $9.4K
- Potential profit
- $183.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $173.85
Polymarket Trader
SCbet
0x4fbe4a8f4c1d3077c8961aa379a85ee49740b0fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.9K
- Realized PnL
- $399.83
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- User PnL
- $57.89
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $473.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $26.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $33.75
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $193.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $69.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.82
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 87.9% 500 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 96.1% 2,000 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 62% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 1,032.54 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 9,397.08 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Yes 1.5% 100 shares
- Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes 19% 100 shares
- Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Yes 37% 30 shares
- Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Yes 47% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate?Yes 29% 100 shares