Polymarket Trader

0x4Fc4f733D76250e8E8183A113eCE85D43c702d04-1772828295737

0x4fc4f733d76250e8e8183a113ece85d43c702d04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.63
Realized PnL: -$10.13
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $22.91
Potential payout: $59.5
Potential profit: $36.59
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.72
Potential payout: $34.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7PM ET

Down 34% 11.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6PM ET

Down 99.9% 2.82 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Down 99.1% 10.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6PM ET

Down 70% 2.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Down 47% 10.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 67% 7.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 99.1% 5.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 91.9% 5.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Down 99.1% 7.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Down 65% 7.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 83.9% 5.93 shares