0x4FCd62601DBa43815CBFE253C666123CF81282E4-1781060909343

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.66K
Potential profit: $9.66K
User PnL: -$67.69

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.3K
Potential profit: $8.3K
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.38

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19K
Potential profit: $5.19K
User PnL: -$60.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$51.64

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$64.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$55.39

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$32.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.1
Potential profit: $615.1
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.48
Potential profit: $558.48
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.17
Potential profit: $370.17
User PnL: -$8.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.55
Potential profit: $333.55
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.45
Potential profit: $308.45
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $199.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $24.05
Potential payout: $82.92
Potential profit: $58.87
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.51
Potential profit: $65.51
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $18.62
Potential payout: $61.05
Potential profit: $42.43
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.4
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $16.01
Potential payout: $56.21
Potential profit: $40.2
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $182.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $38.84

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $35.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.71

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $50 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Multiplier: 7.81x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?