Polymarket Trader

Vaskipezde

0x4fd22bdf1bcbf17a83afd1b630259c125632943b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.2
Realized PnL: $947.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $5.02K
User PnL: -$63.73

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.81K
User PnL: -$32.86

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Israel strike Yemen on September 16 ET?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$6

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $830
Potential profit: $830
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $628.57
Potential profit: $626.37
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.94
Potential profit: $571.94
User PnL: -$11

No position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 205–219 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.67
Potential profit: $566.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.4
Potential profit: $566.4
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.17

Yes position

Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.83

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.27

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.51

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.79

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.16

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.07

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.61

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.98

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 5PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 21% 33.33 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 52% 14.28 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 8.8% 39.34 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 8% 62.5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 25% 40 shares