LithiumIon

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$32.17

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49.51

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $68.9
Potential payout: $99.87
Potential profit: $30.97
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$8.65

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.06
Potential profit: $72.06
User PnL: -$1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.33

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $41.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$20.9

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.14
Potential profit: $17.14
User PnL: -$14.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $9.04
User PnL: -$7.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95
Potential profit: $4.95
User PnL: -$0.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91
Potential profit: $4.91
User PnL: -$4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25
Potential profit: $4.25
User PnL: -$3.61

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.56

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.17

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.79

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.75

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.85

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.78

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.89

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $57.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.59

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.37

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET