N
No position
Will "Illegal" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 22?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
0x4fdf...9269
0x4fdf5d8479e1daf92302b2f887d30850fd3b9269
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.59
- Realized PnL
- $37.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Trump say "Obama / Biden" 7+ times during Pennsylvania events?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8AM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Obama / Biden" 7+ times during Pennsylvania events?No 48% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 20?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 20?Yes 25.5% 3.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 20?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?Yes 46% 2.17 shares
- Will "Illegal" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 22?No 40% 2.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 99.8% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?Yes 42% 2.38 shares