Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
Aby-she
0x4fe67266f46eed261ea5f9cfa1ae5da400f213d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $259.95
- Realized PnL
- $132.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $13.44
- Potential payout
- $320.01
- Potential profit
- $306.57
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $58.97
- Potential payout
- $59.09
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$9.74
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $34.1
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $17.18
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.18
- Potential payout
- $40.2
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $30.32
- Potential payout
- $30.43
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.18
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $20.1
- Potential payout
- $24.79
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $18.53
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $15.07
- Potential payout
- $15.42
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $10.79
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.21
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.52
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.32
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.59
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 16?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 20?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 1?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 10.13 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 74% 4.05 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 81.6% 12.25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?Yes 94.9% 5.27 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?No 62.3% 1.61 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 15.42 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?Yes 85.3% 1.17 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26?Yes 92.1% 3.26 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?No 83.2% 2.4 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 96.2% 51.59 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 93.9% 100 shares