Polymarket Trader

kaktus

0x4ff07c01aef0e685c04a5b2fa3e16e3f4ace5e9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.57
Realized PnL: $4.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314
Potential profit: $314
User PnL: -$157

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 October 27-November 2?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.61
Potential profit: $182.61
User PnL: -$84

No position

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $30.67
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54
Potential profit: $2.54
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 October 27-November 2?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Buffett say "Inflation" 4+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Yoon arrested by Friday?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Pershing Square IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Bitcoin all time high in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 3.33 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Over 50% 2 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Over 50% 312 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.2% 720.05 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.3% 720.08 shares
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?

No 95% 2.11 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.2% 2,366.1 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.3% 2,366.15 shares
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 3.23 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 54% 5.56 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 95.7% 2.09 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 74% 4.05 shares