Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $45.92
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$46.55
Polymarket Trader
whaleP3
0x4ff9c76195a8bdf649535dac48028fd0496be515
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.92
- Realized PnL
- $450.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.17x
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.52
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.66
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.09
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.45
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 12.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 5% 1,000 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 95% 365.53 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 95.8% 313.18 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99.3% 61.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99% 6.73 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 95.2% 52.08 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 94% 69.25 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 99.4% 62.98 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 99.3% 34.58 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 99.3% 62.26 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 99.2% 52.19 shares