Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $329
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$671
Polymarket Trader
Protrade2
0x4ffba5035905ddfd5e80db2fcbf83a7b4c62119d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2K
- Realized PnL
- $36.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $329
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $671
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.12
- Potential profit
- $705.12
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $661.37
- Potential profit
- $661.37
- User PnL
- -$13.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.77
- Potential profit
- $505.77
- User PnL
- -$52.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.5
- Potential profit
- $392.5
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.63
- Potential profit
- $33.63
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.84
- Potential profit
- $22.84
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $828.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $512.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?Yes 13% 4.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?Yes 7.9% 22.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?Yes 42% 3.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?Yes 43% 17.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?Yes 33% 18.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 9.2% 222 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 7% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 15% 36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 14.7% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 12.2% 41.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 10% 53.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?Yes 9.5% 57.58 shares