Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $190.58
- Potential payout
- $127.06K
- Potential profit
- $126.86K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$645.19
Polymarket Trader
william835
0x5026f0a69e2343b506e75b6331586b1ee3fedde1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.04K
- Realized PnL
- $15.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$199.98
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.11
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.88
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $136.63
- Potential payout
- $7.39K
- Potential profit
- $7.25K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $11.65
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $746.56
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.13K
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $929.87
- Potential payout
- $4.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- $112.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $392
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$21.93
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $181.76
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$118.23
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $39.06
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.94
Yes position
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $927.61
- Potential profit
- $927.61
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $18.65
- Potential payout
- $734.07
- Potential profit
- $715.43
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$481.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $310.72
- Potential payout
- $627.71
- Potential profit
- $317
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $10.72
Yes position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $153.13
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $471.88
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$346.88
Yes position
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $51.16
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $413.95
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$148.84
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $152.27
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $302.27
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $197.01
- Potential payout
- $452.9
- Potential profit
- $255.89
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $47.01
No position
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.01
- Potential profit
- $440.01
- User PnL
- -$196.68
Yes position
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $249.12
- Potential payout
- $411.76
- Potential profit
- $162.65
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$50.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.73
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $530.15
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.8
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.97
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.91
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $122.54
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.67
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $105.78
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $101.62
Under position
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.24
AJ Auxerre position
Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.72
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.38
Yes position
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.03
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.81
Utah position
Jets vs. Utah
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.83
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.37
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.57
No position
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $32.11
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.78
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 800 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 800 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 98.2% 408.88 shares
- Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 425.74 shares
- Will Marquinhos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 79% 129 shares
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsYes 47% 212.77 shares
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes 44% 227.27 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 68% 161.29 shares
- Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 72.8% 181.58 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 74.2% 134.75 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 73.4% 408.88 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 73.2% 409.56 shares