Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $36.22K
- Potential profit
- $30.97K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
Polymarket Trader
pengpeng32
0x50364f9378c3a946ffec255cee1a32969d2d3aad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.61K
- Realized PnL
- $5.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $7.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
No position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $6.07K
- Potential payout
- $6.55K
- Potential profit
- $481.42
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$162.9
No position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $4.83K
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $649.94
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$452.86
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $287.28
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $477.36
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$838.35
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $455
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $545
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$205
No position
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $627.2
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $72.8
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.51
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.38
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $146.7
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.08
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.49
Yes position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.96
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.27
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.62
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.59
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
No position
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 17% 9,353.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 18% 2,855.59 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.6% 314.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 21% 12,914.18 shares
- Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?No 93% 700 shares
- Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 68.5% 592.36 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 0.3% 9,379.12 shares
- Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 94.9% 1,714.6 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.7% 100 shares
- Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 24.9% 2,000 shares
- Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes 33.9% 275.67 shares
- Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 93% 1,000 shares