Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $163.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $136.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $8.62
Polymarket Trader
Rocker42026
0x50421cc4cd0f184f346f4eb1d66e29656aaff296
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.08K
- Realized PnL
- $7.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $158.82
- Potential payout
- $299.65
- Potential profit
- $140.84
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $252.33
- Potential payout
- $291.72
- Potential profit
- $39.38
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $149.63
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $135.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $46.68
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $182.4
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $102.6
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $35.5
- Potential payout
- $284
- Potential profit
- $248.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.26
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $142.04
- Potential payout
- $281.26
- Potential profit
- $139.22
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $197.04
- Potential payout
- $275.58
- Potential profit
- $78.54
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $201.03
- Potential payout
- $268.04
- Potential profit
- $67.01
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $154.28
- Potential payout
- $266
- Potential profit
- $111.72
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $28.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $34.56
- Potential payout
- $256
- Potential profit
- $221.44
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $181.2
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $58.8
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $203.52
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $36.48
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $48.27
- Potential payout
- $235.47
- Potential profit
- $187.2
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$21.73
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $76.62
- Potential payout
- $228.7
- Potential profit
- $152.09
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $151.81
- Potential payout
- $226.58
- Potential profit
- $74.77
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $221.67
- Potential profit
- $220.45
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$29.78
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $146.41
- Potential payout
- $220.17
- Potential profit
- $73.76
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $163.9
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $56.1
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $86.9
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $133.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $219.97
- Potential profit
- $212.18
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $162.76
- Potential payout
- $219.94
- Potential profit
- $57.18
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $23.22
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $57.17
- Potential payout
- $219.87
- Potential profit
- $162.7
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $124.06
- Potential payout
- $219.62
- Potential profit
- $95.56
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.46
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.34
Red Wings position
Senators vs. Red Wings
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.32
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.81
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.6
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.7
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.07
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.27
Sri Lanka position
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.65
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.26
Yes position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.98
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.18
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
Under position
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.4
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.86
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.2
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.23
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.14
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.09
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $136.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.76
100 Thieves position
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.3
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.2
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.2
Golden Knights position
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.15
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.15
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.47
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.25
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.15
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.4
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Sabres
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.4
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.27
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.66
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.93
No position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.47
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.26
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 39% 8.58 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 59% 80 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 59% 80 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 59% 80 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 75% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 80% 80 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 1.8% 61 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 74 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 60% 8 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.3% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No 57% 32 shares
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 48% 15.15 shares