Polymarket Trader

0x505fdA42E07AB3c51aD724437e2d73588EAAB887-1772720614348

0x505fda42e07ab3c51ad724437e2d73588eaab887

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.6K
Realized PnL: $45.36
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $211.93
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $72.49

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $846.01
Potential profit: $846.01
User PnL: -$332.76

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.52
Potential profit: $403.52
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.61
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $315.97
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.18
Potential profit: $233.18
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $161.21
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $61.21

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $107.74
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $96.16
Potential payout: $96.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $83.66

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $54.92
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$20.06

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $54.12
Potential payout: $54.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $29.12

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $38.82
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$19.96

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $27.1
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$14.84

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $26.49
Potential payout: $28.09
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $15.78
Potential payout: $16.79
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $11.61
Potential payout: $12.25
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $11.97
Potential profit: $7.44
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.91

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Texas Longhorns position

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 22% 90.91 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 20% 50 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 24% 100 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 26% 76.92 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 51% 98.04 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 48% 208.33 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 48% 20.83 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 88% 11.36 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 44% 100 shares
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Yes 81% 12.25 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 43% 116.28 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 44% 113.64 shares