Polymarket Trader

Kneel2NEIL

0x50677ce405977e5c3eee8f53c391f1ad5382ba4f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.25
Realized PnL: $7.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.51K
Potential profit: $17.51K
User PnL: -$341.94

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $13.42K
User PnL: -$199.6

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.01K
Potential profit: $8.01K
User PnL: -$229.98

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $5.62K
User PnL: -$205.53

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.48K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$222.49

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$86.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.99
Potential profit: $595.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $406.11
Potential profit: $406.11
User PnL: -$23.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326
Potential profit: $326
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.16
Potential profit: $291.16
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.06
Potential profit: $228.06
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.91
Potential profit: $215.91
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.8
Potential profit: $171.8
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.47
Potential profit: $124.47
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.25
Potential profit: $98.25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.73
Potential profit: $81.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.68
Potential profit: $60.68
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.37
Potential profit: $15.37
User PnL: -$2.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $515.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.6

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.87

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.75

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.14

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.72

No position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.45

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.75

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.92

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.81

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.79

No position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 5,500 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Yes 8.6% 135.36 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Yes 0.3% 281.53 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 1.5% 575.67 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Yes 7.2% 1,384.89 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Yes 4% 2,506.15 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?

Yes 2% 4,961.32 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Yes 5.8% 541.47 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares