Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
abcd1927
0x506a43085cd44bcb6b545f0236b2a1f9c3d8ae5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.65
- Realized PnL
- $0.61
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $14.82
- Potential payout
- $109.79
- Potential profit
- $94.96
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$35.18
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 24.49 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 78.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 100 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 45.5% 109.79 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No 99.1% 101.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No 98.6% 100 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No 1.2% 100 shares