No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $87.48
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $681.6
Polymarket Trader
0x5074d2Ca173A1434dFC4362FB3Bb28A72e35-
0x5074d2ca173a1434dfc4362fb3bb28a72e35977b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $90.61
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $62.83
- Potential payout
- $70.2
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $38.71
- Potential payout
- $45.27
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $51.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 98% 16.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 96% 99.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 95.4% 24.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 95.3% 42.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 87% 63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?Yes 85.9% 45.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 33.2% 70.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 34.3% 33.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 33% 1,204.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 49% 5.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 67% 0.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?No 65.8% 46.12 shares