Polymarket Trader

knstntn

0x5076e1d2e0b790e61f0451b618e3495dcc3fe15d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.4K
Realized PnL: $3.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $10.7K
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$197.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $96.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $403.24
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $11.75

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.27
Potential profit: $412.27
User PnL: -$335

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$144

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.92
Potential profit: $196.92
User PnL: -$149.6

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$90

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.61
Potential profit: $183.61
User PnL: -$123.02

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.07
Potential profit: $180.07
User PnL: -$136

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.24
Potential profit: $178.24
User PnL: -$70

Marta Kostyuk position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.98
Potential profit: $164.98
User PnL: -$26

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.35
Potential profit: $154.35
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.22
Potential profit: $154.22
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154
Potential profit: $154
User PnL: -$100.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.29
Potential profit: $153.29
User PnL: -$13.16

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$20.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.52

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.95

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $164.61

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.1

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.46

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.29

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.4

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.96

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $122.5

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.11

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.52

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.29

No position

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.74

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.71

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.61

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.75

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $92.32

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.63

Yes position

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 24?

Yes 4.3% 29.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?

Yes 4.9% 55.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Yes 1% 99.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 24?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 12,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 13,157.89 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner

FURIA 56% 17.86 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 10,948.91 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 65% 46.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?

No 20.6% 33.98 shares
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

Aurora Gaming 68% 48.53 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 10,937.5 shares