No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.25K
- Potential profit
- $10.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.33K
Polymarket Trader
0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265
0x507b51630295906bc404c52ef0456a7bdbec0742
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.79K
- Realized PnL
- $3.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$725.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $777.75
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $72.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $46.75
No position
Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $630.17
- Potential payout
- $645
- Potential profit
- $14.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.12
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$328
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$376
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $389
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$45
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $222.3
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $7.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $177
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $188.95
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $18.85
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $111.18
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $48.82
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$32.62
Yes position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154
- Potential profit
- $154
- User PnL
- -$103.18
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.42
- Potential profit
- $151.42
- User PnL
- -$15.14
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $132.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $134.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.99
- Potential profit
- $147.99
- User PnL
- -$132.69
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.16
- Potential profit
- $113.16
- User PnL
- -$81.7
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $77.22
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $30.78
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $91.23
- Potential payout
- $107.33
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.97
No position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $269.97
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.67
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $192.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.01
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.9
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.68
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.25
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Phoenix Mercury position
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.92
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.3
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.75
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be less than 60?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.42
No position
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 90% 150 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 96% 130 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 100 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 94% 100 shares
- Will France be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 99.5% 24 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 50 shares
- Will Haiti be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?No 95% 50 shares
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 14.26 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 79% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9.6% 119.99 shares
- Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 96% 200 shares
- Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 96% 310 shares