Yes position
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.01
Polymarket Trader
0x6CC8f2DA6c5fEBb71b964b8Bdf25f40c6a4f051e-1772396186686
0x50841cb08c15e3f58cd3cc539038364b86bf295f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.74
- Realized PnL
- -$295.3
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $78.75
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $971.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$215.25
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.19
- Potential profit
- $833.19
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.85
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$32.54
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$47.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 372.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.3% 372.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 250 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 13% 693.64 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 14.3% 139.54 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 72% 42.85 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 7% 10.63 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 35% 42.86 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 9.4% 10.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp 13% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp 13% 38.46 shares