No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $249.19
- Potential payout
- $275.65
- Potential profit
- $26.46
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $45.21
Polymarket Trader
Duskydusk
0x509157c5f4fadffe81bc135c597172e7832a4ef5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $249.19
- Realized PnL
- $922.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.77
- Potential profit
- $41.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.28
- Potential profit
- $17.28
- User PnL
- -$14.19
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.95
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.94
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
No position
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.91
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.21
Yes position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.13
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.82
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.15
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
No position
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
No position
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 74% 275.65 shares
- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Yes 95.8% 203.63 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 77.2% 224.47 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 88% 198.86 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 348.19 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 47.9% 41.77 shares
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes 3% 33.33 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 62% 8.06 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 339.37 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?No 98.7% 312.22 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No 96% 308.27 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes 82.1% 17.28 shares