Polymarket Trader

nibonibo0

0x5092861b89e3b6f53194e96bd863a9bda4a986c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $591.74
Realized PnL: $829.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.67
Potential profit: $566.67
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $552.95
Potential payout: $558.81
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $38.79
Potential payout: $267.54
Potential profit: $228.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$69.78

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $188
User PnL: -$33.84

Yes position

Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.28
Potential profit: $182.28
User PnL: -$49.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.98
Potential profit: $176.98
User PnL: -$34.83

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.28
Potential profit: $100.28
User PnL: -$6.87

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.08
Potential profit: $68.08
User PnL: -$41.53

Yes position

Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.16
Potential profit: $43.16
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $19.06
User PnL: -$9.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.5

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.55

Yes position

Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.64

Yes position

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.99

Yes position

Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.93

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.96

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.73

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.39

Yes position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.51

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.51

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

No position

Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.46

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.72

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.14

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 98.8% 558.81 shares
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?

Yes 98.5% 552.3 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 99% 544.29 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

No 99% 30 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 98.8% 95.31 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 98.7% 5.32 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 98.7% 8.65 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

No 98.6% 10 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 98.6% 40 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 98.6% 72 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

No 98.5% 91.44 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 98.5% 185.9 shares