Polymarket Trader

marcoow021

0x5092cfd4c4fe5c74ea30b89739bb95a81dc00719

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $114.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.31
Potential profit: $652.31
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.17
Potential profit: $263.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.1
Potential profit: $87.1
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.21
Potential profit: $29.21
User PnL: $0

Yes position

between 39 and 41 million views

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.56
Potential profit: $26.56
User PnL: $0

Yes position

43 million or more views

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$7.27

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Shipbuilding" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.98
Potential profit: $12.98
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.51
Potential profit: $11.51
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $4.27
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.98

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.14

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.26x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?

No 96.1% 10.01 shares
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?

No 49.9% 10.01 shares
Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?

Yes 11.9% 16.86 shares
Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?

Yes 8.1% 12.35 shares
between 39 and 41 million views

Yes 3.8% 26.56 shares
43 million or more views

Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

No 95.4% 20.33 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Yes 17% 17.65 shares
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?

No 23.4% 4.27 shares