Polymarket Trader

588.btc

0x5096ae3c0cf83a59c0d0ae3546bdd063b34caed4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.84
Realized PnL: $43.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $50.03
Potential payout: $50.76
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.01
Potential payout: $30.03
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $23.99
Potential payout: $24.02
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Solana dip to $10 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $15.99
Potential payout: $16.02
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.29
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.15

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.69

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.98

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$2

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Bruins

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Spurs position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.90 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will XRP reach $3.30 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Spurs position

Suns vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Thunder position

Celtics vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Jets position

Jets vs. Flames

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Maple Leafs position

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Canadiens position

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Lightning position

Ducks vs. Lightning

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?

No 99.9% 24.02 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 98.5% 50.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 30.03 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Will Solana dip to $10 in July?

No 99.9% 16.02 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 78% 7.69 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 6.98 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95% 15.79 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.3% 7.03 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 3.13 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 60% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 99.6% 42.17 shares