Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $35.8
- Potential payout
- $40.23
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Polymarket Trader
FaeHollow
0x509d2042d87a42a477635f932a31f0061f3f6031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.8
- Realized PnL
- $23.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Blue Jackets position
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Penguins position
Flyers vs. Penguins
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Nuggets position
Warriors vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 40.23 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 37.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 36.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 36.26 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 98.9% 33.38 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.7% 34.19 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.5% 34.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 34.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 34.74 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.2% 33.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.8% 33.42 shares
- Flyers vs. PenguinsPenguins 55% 32.11 shares