Polymarket Trader

Pharlapsbrother

0x50a06b58f233972373c26f9d679fdb2b43df440c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.81K
Realized PnL: $10.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.63K
Potential profit: $20.63K
User PnL: -$609.64

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$128.02

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $507.8
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$43.66

Yes position

Will England win?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$245.27

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$1.79K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $727.29
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $484.86
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$93.25

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $45.86
Potential payout: $689.66
Potential profit: $643.79
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$14.14

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will India win the match?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $564.02
Potential profit: $564.02
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $472.71
Potential payout: $534.14
Potential profit: $61.43
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $129.29

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $388.57
Potential payout: $457.14
Potential profit: $68.57
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $361.08
Potential payout: $412.66
Potential profit: $51.58
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $61.08

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $392.89
Potential payout: $411.4
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Sramkova position

Australian Open Women's: Rebecca Sramkova vs Jelena Ostapenko

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.06
Potential profit: $365.06
User PnL: -$187.62

Under position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $93.7
Potential payout: $360.39
Potential profit: $266.69
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$106.3

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $174.14
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $170.69
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$125.86

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will England vs. India end in a draw?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $55.51
Potential payout: $257.59
Potential profit: $202.08
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.05
Potential profit: $255.05
User PnL: -$152.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Hobart Hurricanes position

Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.29

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.31

No position

Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.54

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.69

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.9

Melbourne Stars position

Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.63

Perth Scorchers position

Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.86

No position

D4vd arrested by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.07

Yes position

Will Ka Ying Rising win the 2025 TAB Everest?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.41

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.65

Yes position

Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298

No position

Will India win the match?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.01

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.72

Yes position

Will Peter Dutton lose his seat?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.37

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.93

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.25

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.44

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.01

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.2

Perth Scorchers position

Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.51

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.66

Yes position

Will England win the match?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Under 56% 178.57 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Under 55% 181.82 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 50% 40 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 51% 58.82 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 53% 37.74 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 84% 357.14 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

Yes 20.5% 121.95 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

Yes 25.2% 3.77 shares
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Yes 27% 370.37 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 64% 95 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 69% 10.13 shares