Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $14
Polymarket Trader
Yolly
0x50a82d4e10441fadd3c63bf1a759b3c707aaa799
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $392.91
- Realized PnL
- $283.97
- Win rate
- 76.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $52
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $15.16
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $64.84
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.99
No position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $18.11
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85.3% 14.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 57% 99.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 249.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95.4% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 100 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 83% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 71% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 6.2% 35 shares
- Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?No 6% 126.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?Yes 1.1% 423.67 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?No 9.9% 95 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?No 10.5% 95 shares