No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.73K
- Potential profit
- $10.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Polymarket Trader
mathrex
0x50b0de750ec7f757250d483ebb86e1e9e61e1640
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.49K
- Realized PnL
- -$5.8K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$3.26K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$3K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $230.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$13.59
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $105.56
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.55
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $152.38
No position
Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.34
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$9.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$15.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.38
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.12K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 90% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No 95% 1,562.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96% 1,562.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No 92% 2,717.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 92% 1,086.96 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.7% 1,230.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57.7% 1,230.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 51.7% 9,998.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 67% 1,190.47 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 83.3% 1,428.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 77.5% 7,943.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 34.4% 1,483.33 shares