Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $11.17K
- Potential profit
- $9.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Polymarket Trader
DonPanic
0x50b242e0b9ac75359464c5b3be62ad6b42d8c94a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.01K
- Realized PnL
- $15.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $687.24
- Potential payout
- $9.16K
- Potential profit
- $8.48K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $489.26
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $164.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $666
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $489.83
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $174.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $11.69
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$254.72
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $166.25
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$86.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$757.09
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $76.79
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$118.44
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $287.33
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$482.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.45
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$222.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $845.91
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $395.34
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$157.66
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $137.02
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $877.97
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$25.67
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$117.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $625.41
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $274.59
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $40.41
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $792
- Potential payout
- $825
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $51.76
- Potential payout
- $694.77
- Potential profit
- $643.01
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- -$70.52
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $494.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $105.3
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $141
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $459
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $78.75
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $421.26
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $466.73
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $33.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $110.35
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $361.08
- Potential payout
- $412.66
- Potential profit
- $51.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $30.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $345.18
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $54.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $102.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $984
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.81
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.9
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.83
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.13
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.87
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.51
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476
Yes position
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $448.07
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.35
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $417.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.88
No position
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.77
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.51
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.46
No position
Grok 5 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.28
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.5
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 81% 300 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 69.8% 5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 900 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 78% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4.3% 305.23 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 230 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 64% 204.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 29% 96.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.5% 2,028.2 shares