Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $45.28
- Potential payout
- $713.13
- Potential profit
- $667.84
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Polymarket Trader
0x50c0...295b
0x50c00f093b392287c73d6b8491bab93de673295b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $149.25
- Realized PnL
- $110.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $66.6
- Potential profit
- $60.94
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $56.96
- Potential payout
- $56.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $18.03
- Potential payout
- $32.49
- Potential profit
- $14.46
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $16.68
- Potential payout
- $19.51
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $13.36
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Up position
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 82% 19.51 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 57% 32.49 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 97.4% 56.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 68% 221.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp 99% 29.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp 70% 29.67 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 99.9% 149.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 99% 149.04 shares
- BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 99% 150.75 shares
- BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 99% 110.75 shares
- BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 92.2% 40.01 shares