old2017

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $85.03
Potential payout: $114.13
Potential profit: $29.1
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $22.05
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $67.94
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $30.52
Potential payout: $83.61
Potential profit: $53.1
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $25.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $44.45
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $21.19
Potential payout: $68.36
Potential profit: $47.17
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $23.78
Potential payout: $66.97
Potential profit: $43.2
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $19.16
Potential payout: $58.96
Potential profit: $39.8
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $39.6
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.55
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$30.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $39.61
Potential payout: $47.13
Potential profit: $7.52
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $40.56
Potential payout: $46.89
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $45.01
Potential profit: $44.92
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$33.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $32.21
Potential payout: $38.57
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $34.79
Potential payout: $35.02
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $6.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $32.38
Potential payout: $35.01
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $23.28
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $11.73
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $31.68
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $28.52
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $33.48
Potential profit: $33.24
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$29.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $12.2
Potential payout: $33.42
Potential profit: $21.22
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $12.68
Potential payout: $32.52
Potential profit: $19.84
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $30.12
Potential profit: $22.44
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $19.69
Potential payout: $30.06
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $27.48
Potential payout: $30.03
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $18.91
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.77
Potential payout: $28.78
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $20.59
Potential payout: $25.05
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $25.04
Potential profit: $20.53
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $25.03
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $18.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.25
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $16.87
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24.79
Potential profit: $24.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $6.64
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $15.86
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $22.08
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $21.16
Potential profit: $12.91
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $16.57
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $11.82
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.52
Potential payout: $20.02
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $13.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $19.97
Potential profit: $12.88
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $19.8
Potential profit: $12.18
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.99

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $42.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $15.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?