LYON position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$70
Polymarket Trader
oliveiraielson
0x50f4e5c79e05cd27bd08e47b70518732af2804d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $433.36
- Realized PnL
- $568.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$120
Olise position
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.9
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $47
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.35
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.23
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Lockheed Martin position
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $32.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.68
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$4.57
No position
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $44.45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $44.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.8
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $40.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
N
No position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $32.76
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $43.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Belgium leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.49
N
No position
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
N
No position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.26
N
No position
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.51
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
Under position
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
N
No position
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19
N
No position
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Japan?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Under position
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
K27 position
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.72
No position
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.05
N
No position
Iraq leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Mentality Monster position
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Under position
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Team Liquid position
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Sharks position
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.53
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
N
No position
Canada to score first vs. Switzerland?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
illwill position
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Inner Circle Esports position
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Alliance Guardians position
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Up position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 59% 16.95 shares
- FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?Yes 99.1% 50 shares
- Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No 97.1% 50 shares
- Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No 97% 14.49 shares
- Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?No 90% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Yes 82% 50 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?Yes 90.7% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by July 31?No 96% 20 shares
- Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?No 88% 20 shares
- Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 27% 14.77 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 60% 20.01 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?Yes 82% 1.13 shares