No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $168.98
- Potential payout
- $284
- Potential profit
- $115.02
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $21.3
Polymarket Trader
jonylmac
0x5104d87f396ebad397ccf10633a0185f73b18e01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.98
- Realized PnL
- $75.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $23.49
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15.36
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.87
Lightning position
Oilers vs. Lightning
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 284 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72% 91 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 79 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 26% 97 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 75% 212 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.2% 107 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.3% 107 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 81% 196 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 68% 84 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 145 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.4% 35 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 92.9% 153 shares