LLouhis

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $477.24
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$19.25

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $56.35
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $433.65
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $26.22
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $463.79
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $45.41
Potential payout: $454.07
Potential profit: $408.66
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$25.35

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $36.13
Potential payout: $425
Potential profit: $388.88
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$39.87

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $59.45
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $350.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$20.35

Yes position

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $42.05
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $247.95
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $226.67
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $14.6
Potential payout: $229.89
Potential profit: $215.29
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $18.34
Potential payout: $193.09
Potential profit: $174.74
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$29.62

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $142.87
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $103.68
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$3.79

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $53.24
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $12.77
Potential payout: $55.53
Potential profit: $42.76
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$17.39

Yes position

Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.83
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.89
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $13.98
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $29.03
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.45
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.56

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.82

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.57

Yes position

James Comey indicted before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.81

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

John Bolton federally charged by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

John Brennan federally charged by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

James Comey in jail in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump before July?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Starmer out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?