Polymarket Trader

PPMT

0x510f4963b66b1b18505faab74b0bb943d1dda43c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $515.31
Realized PnL: $2.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $607.59
Potential profit: $607.59
User PnL: -$107.88

Yes position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $171
Potential payout: $182.3
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$5.98

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $36.61
Potential payout: $138.14
Potential profit: $101.54
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $123.7
Potential profit: $123.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $123.26
Potential profit: $112.97
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $122.35
Potential profit: $118.56
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$9.67

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $20.76
Potential payout: $121.03
Potential profit: $100.28
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $120.92
Potential profit: $111.25
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.77
Potential profit: $120.77
User PnL: -$6.13

No position

Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $108.69
Potential payout: $120.77
Potential profit: $12.08
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $62
Potential payout: $120.63
Potential profit: $58.62
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: -$48.97

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $24.61
Potential payout: $120.06
Potential profit: $95.44
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.02
Potential profit: $120.02
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.01
Potential profit: $120.01
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.01
Potential profit: $120.01
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $87
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $114.79
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$25.39

No position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $117.67
Potential profit: $117.37
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $17.46
Potential payout: $116.39
Potential profit: $98.93
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.06
Potential profit: $115.06
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $11.86
Potential payout: $112.98
Potential profit: $101.11
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$53.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.92
Potential profit: $109.92
User PnL: -$11.04

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.98
Potential profit: $106.98
User PnL: -$1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.95

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.44

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.72

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.32

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.84

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.1

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.82

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 22.9%
Multiplier: 4.38x
User PnL: $97.93

No position

Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.81

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.34

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.76

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.52

No position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $74.9

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.65

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.91

Yes position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.18

No position

Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.88

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.22

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.54

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes 6.9% 6.32 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 51.7% 5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Yes 1.4% 31.9 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Yes 1.4% 7.08 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Yes 9% 25.09 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 63% 59.8 shares
Obama arrested before 2027?

No 93.6% 5 shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 4% 10.4 shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 4% 8.4 shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 4% 8.4 shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 4% 8.4 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 97% 9.4 shares