Polymarket Trader

parismsn

0x5111056df88e08dbb9dd08c8372e27da3fd38bc3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $289.67
Realized PnL: $838.27
Win rate: 69.6%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $187.58
Potential payout: $219.39
Potential profit: $31.81
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$9.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$94

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31.61

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $35.11
Potential payout: $71.65
Potential profit: $36.54
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $52.39
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $14.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.76

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.8%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 47% 71.65 shares
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 90% 119.39 shares
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 72% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 1% 77.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Down 97% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 14% 22.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Down 96% 208.33 shares
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 24% 495 shares
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 21% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 74.6% 495 shares
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 77.8% 1,000 shares
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 77.9% 1,000 shares