Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $24.31
- Potential payout
- $615.38
- Potential profit
- $591.08
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$55.69
Polymarket Trader
Gambling123
0x5111fe0b662e1f8f09f3ad62318f2077251b836d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.45
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $46.65
- Potential payout
- $562
- Potential profit
- $515.35
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$48.89
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $480
- User PnL
- -$13.24
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.83
- Potential profit
- $182.83
- User PnL
- -$42.05
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 35% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 24% 125 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 562 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 615.38 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?Yes 2.8% 480 shares
- US government shutdown by October 1?No 23% 182.83 shares