No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.03
- Potential profit
- $503.03
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x51173BB955fc9e28B20b166f0F3759632eE24C0C-1767011992868
0x51173bb955fc9e28b20b166f0f3759632ee24c0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.12
- Realized PnL
- $26.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $5.94
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
$3,000 position
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
N
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 52% 3.85 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 1.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.1% 11.49 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 56% 1.79 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 22% 2.04 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 20% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 76% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 11.49 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 20% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.1% 24.39 shares