Polymarket Trader

SPYFi-

0x512458e27b312024ea20483dfb30b46c4e65db86

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.46
Realized PnL: -$64.29
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $24.78
Potential payout: $97.57
Potential profit: $72.79
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $7.29
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$4.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 47.2% 21.16 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 75% 26.67 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 20.83 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 13.89 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 43.1 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

1.5% 1,294.67 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 3.88 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 99.9% 2.26 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 53% 2.26 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares